jeudi 30 octobre 2014

Blogger's sketchy anti-U.S. facts draw fans in China | The Japan Times

Blogger's sketchy anti-U.S. facts draw fans in China | The Japan Times

East Turkestan: Chinese State Seizes Assets of Ilham Tohti’s Family



Guzelnur Tohti, wife of Uyghur academic Ilham Tohti, has said that the Chinese authorities removed 850,000 yuan (US$140,000) from her husband’s bank account on Tuesday October 28, and expressed fear that the authorities will also confiscate the apartment where she lives with their two sons. Tohti’s lawyers are working on appealing the life sentence he received in September, but their hopes of even earning a hearing are low.
Below is an article published by Radio Free Asia:
Nearly U.S.$140,000 in savings have been drained from the bank account of jailed Uyghur scholar Ilham Tohti, as the ruling Chinese Communist Party enforces its seizure of his assets, sparking fears that his young family may be evicted from their Beijing apartment, his wife said on Tuesday (28 October 2014).
The former professor at the Central University for Nationalities in Beijing was handed a life sentence for "separatism" by a court in northwestern China's troubled Xinjiang region on Sept. 23, as well as deprivation of political rights and confiscation of all his assets.
Tohti's wife Guzelnur told RFA on Tuesday (28 October 2014) that a total of 850,000 yuan (U.S. $140,000) in savings had now been taken out of her husband's bank account.
"They took it all, two days ago," Guzelnur said. "They won't give me anything now, and I didn't even get a letter."
"Last time [I tried to withdraw money] the account had been frozen," she said.
Guzelnur said she is concerned about trying to subsist and raise the couple's two young sons on a meager salary from the same university.
She said Tohti's young family could also eventually face homelessness.
"I don't know how we'll get by," she said. "If they confiscate the apartment as well, then we won't even have a place to live."
"I have two kids there; what if [the authorities] make their move? One of them is not even eight years old, and the other's not yet five," Guzelnur said.
She said she is also very worried about Tohti's health in prison, as temperatures plummet below freezing in Xinjiang.
"Before the trial, we sent him [stuff in the detention center], but after that, we couldn't send him clothes or any other items," she said.
She said Tohti's lawyer Li Fangping had called on Tuesday to say that Urumqi is "extremely cold."
"I told him to go and ask [at the detention center], to say we already have his winter clothes ready, and can send them over," Guzelnur added.
Tohti, 44, who immediately voiced protest when the verdict and sentence was announced at the Urumqi Intermediate People's Court, is in the process of appealing his sentence, his lawyers said.
"I am reading through the appeal files, and I will also go through the paperwork as his instructed lawyer, and then I will need to meet with him," Li said, shortly after arriving in Urumqi on Tuesday.
A second member of Tohti's defense team, Liu Xiaoyuan, said he didn't think the court would hold a hearing to hear the appeal, however.
"There is no new evidence," Liu said. "They have pretty much [said they won't hold a hearing]."
"It will just be an enquiry style hearing in which they ask the defendant and listen to the opinions of the lawyer, and then produce a written judgment," he said.
Tohti's conviction sparked a wave of condemnation in China and from the international community, with human rights activists saying he never received the benefit of a fair trial, and that he should never have been tried in the first place for exercising his constitutional right to free expression.
The Xinjiang region, which is home to millions of Turkic-speaking Uyghurs, has seen an upsurge in violence that has left hundreds dead since 2012, and which China has blamed on terrorists and Islamist insurgents seeking to establish an independent state.
But rights groups accuse the Chinese authorities of heavy-handed rule in Xinjiang, including violent police raids on Uyghur households, restrictions on Islamic practices, and curbs on the culture and language of the Uyghur people.
Chinese president Xi Jinping announced a harsh, one-year antiterrorism campaign in May, following a bombing in the regional capital Urumqi that killed 31 people and injured 90.
Exile Uyghur groups have repeatedly said the root causes of recent violence in Xinjiang lie with China's treatment of peaceful Uyghur dissidents.

China executed 2,400 people in 2013: report - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

China executed 2,400 people in 2013: report - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

China launches experimental moon orbiter - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

China launches experimental moon orbiter - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

China may scrap death penalty for nine crimes - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

China may scrap death penalty for nine crimes - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

Club Lunch: Chinese Turkestan: a Photographic Journey through an Ancient Civilisation



Speaker: Ryan Pyle
Photographer, Filmmaker, Author
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3, 2014
12:45PM – LUNCH
1:15PM – ADDRESS
1ST FLOOR
Sparsely populated and spanning more than 1.6 million square kilometers of desert, river basins, mountains, and grasslands, the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region has had a turbulent history. Many of the events that have occurred there during the last 2500 years have been inextricably associated with its geographical position in northwest China, at a crossroads linking Europe and Asia. Traversed by branches of the series of trade routes that formed the ancient Silk Road, the region has been fought over and controlled by a succession of warlords and empires.  Mr. Pyle will share his insights and photos from nearly a decade of exploring ancient footsteps in shifting sands in China’s remote northwest.
Mr. Pyle moved to China permanently in 2002 and in 2004 became a regular contributor to the New York Times. In 2009 Ryan was listed by PDN Magazine as one of the 30 emerging photographers in the world. In 2010 Ryan began working full time on television and documentary film production and has produced and presented several large multi-episode television series for major broadcasters in the USA, Canada, UK, Asia, China and continental Europe.
$150 (MEMBERS)    $250 (GUESTS)
Please reserve with the FCC concierge at (tel) 2521 1511, (fax) 2868 4092
or (email) concierge@fcchk.org
IMPORTANT
  • Confirmation will be sent to you once your booking is accepted. If you do not receive a confirmation within two working days, please contact our Concierge.
  • Please indicate your preference of dishes (fish, chicken, vegetable or vegan) when placing the booking.
  • Guests who arrive after 1:10pm will be served lunch only after the event ends.
  • No cancellations will be accepted after noon on Wednesday, October 29
Date: 
Monday, November 3, 2014 - 12:45 to 14:30

China Investigates Mayor Of Hotan In Troubled Xinjiang Region For Corruption


Paramilitary police officers stand guard for the Long Ma performance on a hazy night in Beijing, on Oct. 19, 2014. Reuters/Jason Lee
Paramilitary police officers stand guard for the Long Ma performance on a hazy night in Beijing, on Oct. 19, 2014. Reuters/Jason Lee
China is investigating the mayor of a city in the western region of Xinjiang, home to the country’s ethnic Uighur minority, for corruption. Adil Nurmemet, 46, had been serving as mayor of Hotan and as deputy secretary of the local committee of the Communist Party of China, or CPC, since January 2009, Xinhua reported.
Nurmemet is being “investigated for suspected serious discipline violations,” Xinhua reported, citing the Hotan Prefectural of the CPC. China’s president Xi Jinping has been on an anti-corruptiondrive to root out graft in government since he took office two years ago. Several senior officials have been stripped of power and punished in bribery cases, leading critics to accuse Xi of using the drive as a cover to consolidate power. But, outlying regions like Xinjiang and Tibet have so far been left untouched by the probes, Reuters reported.
In recent months, Xinjiang has witnessed several clashes between the Muslim Uighurpeople and Han Chinese who have moved to the northwestern province.
Last month, at least 50 people, including 10 rioters, were killed in a series of explosions that took place in the region. In August, security forces killed nine militants in a rural area close to Hotan city, Reuters reported. In July, the country announced that nearly 100 people, including 59 terrorists, were killed in a militant attack.
The Muslim minority accuses the government of religious persecution while Beijing has blamed recent deadly attacks across the country on Islamist militants from Xinjiang. The CPC has also attempted to appoint Han Chinese officials to head local government but they are viewed with suspicion by the ethnic population, Reuters reported.
Last week, a propaganda magazine for the Islamic militant group al Qaeda said that Xinjiang has to be “recovered [into] the shade of the Islamic Caliphate.” However, Uighur activists in exile in the United States have said that the group’s effort to fold the region into a caliphate would not be welcomed by the local community.

Chinese Security Checks ‘Target Uyghurs’ Ahead of APEC Summit


Young Uyghurs rest near the Grand Bazaar in Urumqi, capital of western China's Xinjiang region, Sept. 17, 2014.
Young Uyghurs rest near the Grand Bazaar in Urumqi, capital of western China’s Xinjiang region, Sept. 17, 2014.
Chinese authorities in the troubled northwestern region are targeting ethnic minority groups in a major “anti-terrorism” campaign ahead of a key leadership summit in Beijing next week, an exile group said on Wednesday.
Authorities in Xinjiang, home to the mostly Muslim Turkic-speaking Uyghur ethnic group, have already stepped up surveillance of the region’s ethnic minorities ahead of an Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) leaders summit in Beijing on Nov. 10-11, a spokesman for the Munich-based World Uyghur Congress (WUC) told RFA on Wednesday.
“Whenever China is getting ready to host an international event, the government steps up surveillance and controls on Uyghurs, because they are afraid of upheavals and clashes,” WUC spokesman Dilxat Raxit said.
“They step up surveillance of, and restrictions on, Uyghur people … as well as carrying out searches that deliberately target Uyghurs,” he said.
“They have deployed large numbers of armed police in north and the south of the region, and they carry out sudden dawn raids on Uyghur homes,” Raxit said.
He said that any Uyghurs found not in their homes, because they are visiting friends or relatives, are immediately forced to register with local police.
“Sometimes they are forced to report to the police station for a limited period,” Raxit said.
New security law proposed
He said controls targeting Uyghurs on the basis of ethnicity have already sown the seeds of violence and ethnic strife in the troubled region.
“The WUC once more warns the Chinese government that targeting Uyghurs in such a provocative way will give rise to more violent incidents,” Raxit said.
The increased security measures come as Chinese lawmakers debate a new law setting up a new counterterrorism intelligence agency, official media reported.
The law would facilitate greater sharing of information across government bodies and among military, armed police, and militia, the official Xinhua news agency quoted lawmaker and National People’s Congress (NPC) standing committee member Lang Sheng as saying.
The bill contains measures to boost “Internet security management, the examination of transport, dangerous materials, terrorism financing prevention, and border controls,” Xinhua said.
Lang said China’s anti-terrorism work is “incomplete” and “not forceful.”
Earlier this month, two Uyghur men went on a stabbing spree in Xinjiang’s southern district of Hotan, killing three police officers and three government officials before they were gunned down by the authorities in the latest violence to hit the troubled region.
The slaying came amid an anti-terror campaign launched in Xinjiang following deadly attacks blamed by Beijing on Uyghur separatists and Islamist insurgents seeking to establish an independent state.
‘Heavy-handed rule’
Rights groups accuse the Chinese authorities of heavy-handed rule in Xinjiang, including violent police raids on Uyghur households, restrictions on Islamic practices, and curbs on the culture and language of the Uyghur people.
A Han Chinese resident of the regional capital Urumqi, surnamed Zhang, said Uyghurs have already been living with frequent raids and searches since the Tiananmen jeep explosion a year ago on Wednesday.
“Security measures are always very tight here in Xinjiang,” he said.
“There are lots of checks on people going into downtown Urumqi, and whenever there is a big event on in Beijing, we have security checks here.”
He said security measures don’t apply to Han Chinese living in Xinjiang, however.
“When [Uyghurs] travel to a new place, they are obliged to register with authorities there within three hours of arriving,” Zhang said.
He said the authorities find it relatively easy to target Uyghurs on the basis of racial profiling, rather than any concrete evidence of a terrorist plot.
“If you are an ethnic minority, that is obvious, but if you are a Hui [ethnic Chinese Muslim], you can remain hidden,” Zhang said.
APEC was set up in 1989, and now groups 21 economies spanning the Asia-Pacific region, including the United States, China, Japan, and Russia.
A meeting of APEC finance ministers earlier this month was switched to Beijing from Hong Kong, over security fears amid mass pro-democracy protests in the semiautonomous Chinese city.
Reported by Qiao Long for RFA’s Mandarin Service. Translated and written in English by Luisetta Mudie.

新疆硬性规定全面禁未成年人信教 成年人不“管好”子女和学生将受罚


新疆当局近日硬性规定,18岁以下青少年不得有宗教信仰,如有进行宗教活动或念诵古兰经者,将处罚其父母和老师。据海外维吾尔组织获悉,新疆和田、喀什、阿克苏等地区要求青少年家长及学校负责人签署承诺书,保证在学校和家庭防止对青少年教育的宗教渗透,违者可能被开除公职及罚款。

新疆自治区政府进一步加强对非成年人参与宗教活动的管控。

据总部在德国的世界维吾尔代表大会发言迪里夏提星期四告诉本台,当局正在加强对维吾尔人信仰的监控。

“不仅是国家干部,还有企业职工,尤其是对学生采取胁迫性措施。我们获得的比较确凿信息,各地都在掀起禁止维吾尔学生信仰宗教的政治运动,都要求学校的教职人员签署不信教的保证书,有违反的开除。甚至我们有相关的信息,在和田、喀什、阿克苏、伊犁、包括在吐鲁番,教职人员因做礼拜,遭到当局开除公职及受到经济惩罚。”

迪里夏提说,另一方面,教职人员除了签署自己不信教的保证书,同时还要保证他们的家人和亲属不信教,更要保证他们授课的学生不信教。

“如果发现某一个班的学生中,有一个学生做礼拜或者念了古兰经,校方发现后,老师就要受到惩罚,就连这位孩子的父母也要受到惩罚。不信教保证书还要求相互监督,当局用这种连贯性的强制措施,胁迫维吾尔人放弃他们的信仰。”

本台星期四致电和田市教育局查询,接听电话的官员明确表示,18岁以下的青少年不得参与宗教。

记者:您好,是教育局吗?

官员:您好。

记者:问一下,18岁以下的青少年,是不是不能从事宗教活动?

官员:对。

记者:现在有没有硬性规定?

官员:有,我们地方有硬性规定。

记者:反正就不可以(信教)?

官员:对。

记者:因为什么,怕什么?

官员:什么怕,你是哪里?

记者:记者,想问一下。

官员:记者,你要想问,到这里来问吧。

记者:哦,这个规定从什么时候开始的?

对方没有回答,就挂断电话。

据法新社周三报道,喀什最近召开当地两千多所中小学以及幼儿园负责人会议,制定学校和校外家庭防止宗教渗透的青少年教育领域的计划。会议要求各个学校领导人不仅监督学校学生不得穿着宗教服饰,行使宗教参拜礼仪,也要关注学生放回家后,有无家庭里参加宗教活动,从多方面防止学校教育受到宗教渗透。

新疆居民邹先生表示,在中国的校园,18岁以下的青少年只能信仰共产主义,不能有其他信仰。18之后才有信仰自由。官方认为,未成年人没有选择宗教的权利。

“如果18岁以后,可能有一部分在工作单位的人也不允许信教和进入清真寺,但是对农村的、社会人员,他还是没有办法控制。如果年龄到18岁以上还不让信教,在中东穆斯林国家来说,已经不符合真主教训。”

但是,官方报道没有明确说明是指伊斯兰教。迪里夏提表示,当局对信仰的压制,只会导致新疆局势进一步恶化。

“人们为了自己的信仰,会采取各种方式抵抗。近期当地发生的动荡、导致双方各有死伤的冲突,都和中国政府对于信仰的压制有关。”

世维会表示,当局对维吾尔人的压制,既违反了国际人权公约,甚至对自己制定的宪法也是一种践踏。迪里夏提呼吁中国政府放弃这种针对维族人的歧视性政策,让新疆局势恢复平静。

(特约记者:乔龙 责编:胡汉强/吴晶)

lundi 20 octobre 2014

China launches massive rural 'surveillance' project to watch over Uighurs



After violent clashes that left possibly hundreds of Muslim Uighurs dead, 200,000 Communist party officials are fanning out across the far-western region of Xinjiang to win the hearts and minds of locals

Bayandai residents walk past an ethinic unity poster and a police check point
Bayandai residents walk past an ethinic unity poster and a police check point 
They arrived at the fringes of China's modern day empire in early March, setting up base in a family planning centre with riot shields, helmets and two sharp 6ft spears propped up inside the front door.
The team of 12 Communist party officials had one key mission in this distant village near the border with Kazakhstan: to win over an increasingly disillusioned population of Muslim Uighurs.
The task before them is daunting. After a series of terrorist attacks in the Spring, it was a violent summer in Xinjiang, with bloody clashes leaving at least 96, and possibly many more, dead in Yarkand.
On July 30, the 74-year-old imam of the Id Kah in Kashgar, China's largest and most important mosque, was hacked to death by three axe-wielding men. The allegedly perpetrators, two of whom were subsequently shot dead, saw his slaying as an act of “holy war”, state media reported.
Such clashes, which have been driven partly by the lack of rights and economic opportunities for Uighurs and partly by a growing vein of Islamic extremism, have driven the Communist party to send 200,000 officials out to improve relations in the field.
"The basic idea is to visit families, build unity and bring them benefits," said one of the 12 officials in Bayandai village. "It is a project to win people's hearts and to improve the local economy and people's lives."
But there is also a second, largely unspoken task for the team, and for the rest of the officials who are fanning out across 8,000 villages in Xinjiang: to gather intelligence on the lives of the villagers and create a vast community surveillance network in this huge and troubled region.
"Nominally they are there to listen to the people," said Dr James Leibold, a specialist on China's ethnic policy from La Trobe University in Australia. "But one of the things they have also been tasked with is surveillance."
The teams have been told to interview each household in their village and compile detailed reports on their employment status as well as on their observance of Islam, noting down, for example, whether the women wear veils and the men have beards.

Helmets and shields stacked on a shelf at a local clinic in Bayandai
The "Visit, Benefit, Come Together" campaign began earlier this year after a spike in violence and terrorist attacks that has now spread beyond Xinjiang’s borders into other parts of China, including its capital.
After locking down the region's major cities, with steel barricades on the streets and constant police patrols, Beijing now wants to secure Xinjiang's vast countryside.
The attempt to get "eyes and ears on what is going on" in the vast countryside of Xinjiang showed China's leaders felt they had lost control over what was happening there, Dr Leibold said.
"I think there is a realisation that they took their eye off Xinjiang. They seem a bit surprised by the growing religiosity that has occurred," said Dr Leibold.
The project appears to be modelled on a similar but smaller program in Tibet that saw around 20,000 officials sent into the field between 2011 and 2013.
Since they arrived in Bayandai village (pop. 4,000) in March, the officials have cleared a landfill site from a nearby pasture, improved public transport for local children, helped a local man set up a restaurant and started Chinese classes for local teenagers, according to government propaganda.
The mostly Uighur villagers have mixed impressions of their guests. "It is good to have them here. They come twice or three times a week. They help the poor families," said one Uighur shopkeeper.
"I have no idea what they have done or might be doing,” said another Uighur man. "I have never met them.”

Daily life on the streets of Bayandai
A Han Chinese resident pointed out that most villagers, including himself, had no love for the local government. "For villagers the government's words are just nonsense," the man said. "The government has never done anything practical to help the people."
"I have never even seen a member of the group in our village. Not ever," he added.
He scoffed at claims the government was helping renovate local homes. "Perhaps one out of every 100."
Henryk Szadziewski, an activist who has lived in southern Xinjiang, said there were concerns over the potential for conflict between the teams and villagers who already regarded officials with "fear and mistrust". Some officials sent to the countryside were "unable to speak Uighur and are unfamiliar with the local conditions".
Other pro-Uighur activists were more scathing. "It is 200,000 police without uniforms," said Dolkun Isa, the secretary general of the World Uighur Congress who has lived in exile in Germany since 1997.
"They go to these areas and do not bring any benefits. The only purpose is political: to control the people."
Dr Leibold said it was too early to gauge the project's impact but said troubling accounts were already emerging.
"There are some reports of people going and reporting women with veils, entering homes and de-veiling women," he said. "I'm a bit pessimistic about it. The quality of some of these officials at a local level is pretty poor and they tend to inflame tensions."
Such heavy-handedness is already on full show in Bayandai. A CCTV camera and a temporary police station have been positioned directly in front of the village mosque and a blue sign next to its entrance says under-18s are forbidden from stepping inside.
Posters pasted onto the facades of many homes warn that women face fines or detention if they wear veils. Those who insult women in "modern clothes" will also face sanctions.
On a recent morning Gulimila, the Uighur Communist Party chief responsible for Bayandai, toured the village in preparation for an "ethnic unity" inspection from officials in Yining, the regional capital.

A local party chief inspects Bayandai Village
Wearing a dress as red as the Chinese flag, Gulimila said she did not have permission to discuss the area or the arrival of the "grassroots" team.
In an interview earlier this year, the regional Communist Party chief said the scheme would help thwart terrorist activities and extremist thought as well as eliminating "backward and stupid thinking among the people".
"We should not leave out a single village in a town, a single household in a village, nor a single resident in a household," Huang Sanping added.
Civil servants say the project will also benefit local officials by offering them guidance from more experienced and better educated outsiders.
"Most village officials don't have a high level of education and can't read Chinese so it is hard for them to understand government documents and pass those messages on to the people," said one.
But a poster inside the group's temporary HQ outlined Beijing's fears over these villages in Xinjiang, where tensions between Uighurs and a growing number of Han Chinese migrants are on the rise.
"The village has quite a few religious venues, a big migrant population, a large number of people with no source of income or without the ability to work and a large number of unemployed youth," read one section, under the heading "social stability analysis".
"The social situation is quite complicated," it concluded.

中欧化解无线通信争端幕后



10月9日,李克强总理开始年内第二次欧洲之行,此访涉及两个欧盟大国——德国和意大利。当人们把目光投向双方签署的一系列大单时,却容易忽略另外一些细节。
德国是李克强总理此访的第一站,也是欧盟第一经济大国,在欧盟内部拥有相当大的发言权。11日在德国汉堡出席中欧论坛汉堡峰会并发表主旨演讲时,李克强总理就明确敦促欧盟不要在无线通信设备反补贴案上一意孤行。
他说:“中欧应共同反对各种形式的贸易保护主义,我们愿与欧方就无线通信设备反补贴案积极磋商,尽快达成共识。”
据知情人士透露,李克强总理在与德国总理默克尔的多场会晤中,也就无线通信设备反补贴案与德方沟通,希望德国能够秉承自由贸易精神,推动欧盟避免贸易战。在李克强总理的直接推动下,商务部与欧盟有关方面举行了多轮磋商和对话,寻求妥善解决方案。
15日晚,李克强总理刚到意大利米兰准备出席第二天的亚欧首脑会议,就在下榻的酒店与即将离任的欧洲理事会主席范龙佩和欧盟委员会主席巴罗佐举行了一场“特殊”会晤,对华无线通信设备反补贴案是绕不开的话题。
正是在这场“特殊”会晤之后,陪同李克强总理访欧的商务部长高虎城并未随总理的专机回国,而是直接紧急赶赴欧盟总部布鲁塞尔,与欧盟贸易委员德古赫特在18日共同主持第28届中欧经贸混委会,就在电信领域开展合作和欧盟撤销对华无线通信设备反补贴案与欧方达成一致。
顶层公关再显成效
这是李克强总理再次开展顶层公关,成功化解中欧重大贸易争端。
去年5月,同样是访欧期间,李克强总理旗帜鲜明地提出,中方坚决反对欧盟拟对华光伏产品和无线通信设备产品发起“双反”调查,并敦促德国发挥积极作用,推动欧盟与中国通过对话磋商化解摩擦,维护中欧经贸合作大局。
李克强总理还与默克尔就通过对话解决光伏争端达成重要共识。此后李克强又与巴罗佐通电话,进一步明确了通过磋商解决争端的方向。
正是在李克强总理亲自推动和顶层公关下,中欧双方经过艰苦、细致的谈判,最终于去年8月就中国输欧光伏产品贸易争端达成价格承诺,为这场涉及中国对欧出口200多亿美元的“史上最大双反案件”画上了一个句号。
这次,李克强总理再度推动中欧避免了一场两败俱伤的贸易战。
对欧发出明确信号
去年5月,欧盟委员会原则上决定,对产自中国的无线通信设备展开“双反”调查,即反倾销和反补贴调查。
调查主要针对中国的两大通信产品制造商华为与中兴在欧洲的业务。这是继光伏产品“双反”之后,中欧之间又一重大贸易争端。
今年3月,欧盟委员会放弃了反倾销调查,但仍保留了反补贴调查。
正如商务部长高虎城所指出的,中欧双方就欧盟撤销对华无线通信设备反补贴案取得共识,并就保持相互开放、公平竞争的市场环境达成一致。这再次表明双方有智慧、有能力管控贸易摩擦,为双边经贸关系的深入发展创造了良好条件。
李克强总理访欧更是向欧方发出了一个明确信号:当前中欧都处于发展的关键时期,都面临稳定增长、调整结构、促进就业的共同任务,双方深化务实合作既有客观要求,又有难得机遇。双方应当共谋贸易发展“大棋局”、推动投资进入“快车道”、开辟创新合作“深海域”,而不是陷入贸易保护主义的窠臼。(完)

国际油价下跌造成多重影响 原油国财政面临风险



  受多重因素叠加影响,国际油价近期大幅下挫。分析人士认为,对全球经济而言,油价下跌恐将是一把双刃剑。油价下挫有助于原油消费国降低成本,刺激消费和经济增长;但对于原油输出国而言,油价下跌使这些国家的经济和财政面临巨大风险。
  油价缘何下挫
  国际油价近期大幅下挫,市场普遍观点是由全球原油供过于求导致。一方面,全球主要产油国加紧生产;另一方面,全球经济增速放缓,压制原油需求。
  供应方面,受益于页岩油气技术的发展,美国原油产量持续上升。美国能源信息局数据显示,截至10月3日的一周内,美国日均生产原油高达888万桶,为1986年以来最高水平。
  石油输出国组织(欧佩克)发布的月度原油市场报告指出,9月份欧佩克原油日产量达到3047万桶,比前一个月上升40.2万桶,为2013年8月以来最高水平。目前,欧佩克原油产量约占全球石油市场份额的三分之一。
  需求方面,全球经济增速放缓预期打压了原油市场需求。国际货币基金组织日前发布报告,下调2014年全球经济增长预期,警告经济下行风险加剧。报告将今年全球经济增速调低至3.3%,将2015年全球增长预测小幅下调至3.8%。
  此外,分析人士认为,伊拉克、伊朗、利比亚的石油产量和出口量均有所增加,也推动国际油价下跌。同时,全球经济尚未完全走出2008年经济危机阴影,美国和欧盟在经济发展领域面临一系列困难,限制了国际油价走高。
  利好还是利空
  对于全球经济而言,油价下跌恐怕是一把双刃剑。
  一方面,低油价有助于原油消费国降低成本,促进消费和经济增长,是一种利好。以美国为例,消费是美国最重要的经济推动力之一,汽油价格下降有利于美国家庭增加在其他商品方面的消费支出,刺激经济增长。
  对于中国而言,国际油价下跌将减少原油进口支出,有利于减轻通胀压力,相关制造业也将受惠于成本的降低。
  过去,石油价格高企令不少产油国受益,并积累了巨额财富。但这些国家的经济与油价息息相关。油价大跌后,原油输出国的经济和财政恐面临较大风险。
  对于俄罗斯而言,由于其财政预算按照原有油价制定,油价持续下跌可能导致财政收入锐减。另外,油价下跌还会导致股票市场混乱,引发资本外逃。其结果可能是国内通货膨胀率上升,物价上涨,居民消费需求受到遏制。
  近期看,在油价下跌和西方制裁的背景下,俄罗斯经济运行风险增加,而这也是多家国际金融机构下调俄罗斯经济增长预期的主要原因。也有包括俄罗斯专家在内的一些观察人士认为,美国为首的一些国家推动油价下跌意在拖垮俄罗斯经济,引发俄罗斯政治社会动荡。
  原油输出国何以应对
  为应对油价下跌,俄罗斯采取的重要手段是使卢布贬值。今年,俄罗斯卢布贬值幅度基本与油价下降幅度持平。
  由于国际石油交易采用美元结算,因而保证了俄罗斯出口石油所得的卢布收益基本不变。不过,卢布大幅贬值也可能导致俄国内通货膨胀加剧和大量资本外逃。
  此外,俄罗斯政府认识到,必须采取措施加强对国家能源安全的保护力度。俄总理梅德韦杰夫指出,油气工业是俄罗斯经济的基础,当前应尤其注意在勘探和开发油气资源中采用新技术,保证俄罗斯油气工业在世界的领先地位。
  俄罗斯有大约5000亿美元的外汇储备,每年财政预算都预留出储备基金,应对经济发展面临的风险。此外,俄罗斯也认识到过度依赖能源出口不可靠,改变经济增长结构的力度也在不断加大。
  作为中东产油大国之一,沙特阿拉伯不希望油价进一步下滑,但也不愿意单方面减产,希望与欧佩克其他成员国一道减产。分析人士认为,沙特想通过低价手段,迫使西方石油公司减产以达到扩大市场份额的目的,尤其是低价可以抑制美国等其他产油国通过页岩油气技术等手段增加产量的进程。(综合新华社记者黄继汇、吴刚、王波报道)

依法治国将出顶层设计 四中全会首次专题讨论依法治国



  据经济之声《央广财经评论》报道,中国共产党第十八届中央委员会第四次全体会议于今天召开,本次四中全会专题讨论依法治国问题,这在党的历史上尚属首次。
  改革开放以来,通常每一届中央委员会要召开七次全体会议,也就是从一中全会到七中全会。一中全会一般选举总书记等新一届领导人,选举政治局常委,决定中央军事委员会成员等。二中全会,则是在全国两会换届前召开,主要讨论新一届国家机构的人事问题。三中全会在二中全会当年的第四季度召开,一般讨论“大题目”、重大决策,最受人关注。四中至六中全会在此后每隔一年的第四季度召开,审议当年各种事务。七中全会通常是新的全国代表大会的预备会。
  历届四中全会从召开时间看,均位于承上启下的“中间年份”,因此会议主题大多讨论较为务虚的党建问题,今年的第十八届四中全会有所不同,不仅以“全面推进依法治国”作为主题,而且会议亦从过往较侧重于务虚的讨论转为务实为主,其中更可能包括一些重大的人事调整。
  在“依法治国”基本方略提出十余年之后,有分析称,本次会议或绘制出新的路线图,为“法治中国”作顶层设计,以“法治”为改革护航,而司法改革、反腐“治本”等话题则成为舆论观察此次会议的焦点。
  中国(海南)改革发展研究院院长迟福林对此解读。
  经济之声:中共十八届三中全会《中共中央关于全面深化改革若干重大问题的决定》中提出 “完善和发展中国特色社会主义制度,推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化”, 推进法治中国建设就是推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化的重要一项,在您看来,本次四中全会为什么会率先选择“依法治国”作为突破口?
  迟福林:这是我们经济社会生活进入新时代新阶段一个重大战略选择,我们都知道法制是市场经济本质,法制是市场经济的基础,更是市场经济的保障。今天的经济转型,我们处理好政府和市场关系,发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用,需要加快建设法制市场经济。第二,进入新世纪、新阶段要把公平正义作为的改革的出发点、落脚点,怎么样实行公平正义,需要法制保障,法制是实现公平正义重要的根本性的保障。第三,把国家治理体系、治理能力现代化作为改革的总目标,法制是治理体系、治理能力现代化中一个最最重要一个方面,法制为先、法制为大,我们的治理体系、治理能力,才能够明显的提高。所以我认为选择这样一个突破口是适应了我们新时期、新阶段经济社会、政治社会的战略揭示。
  经济之声:有评论认为,目前我国经济处于'经济增长速度换挡期、结构调整阵痛期、前期刺激政策消化期"的三期叠加时期,这个阶段我们这个情况面临非常复杂,而这个时间业面临我们的经济增长一些困难,比如说人口红利的小时,在这个时候推进"依法治国"能够释放出怎样的红利呢?
  迟福林:这个问题十分重要,我们现在正面临市场经济发展的关键时期,经济生活中各个矛盾问题凸显,这种背景下,推进依法治国可以在多方面应该说能够释放我们的改革红利。第一,更坚信中国的市场环境应该公平、公正能够得到法律的保障。第二,通过依法来打破各种垄断为公平竞争提供的市场空间。第三,市场的主体权利能够得到法律的保障,各类投资者更安心来投资。第四,用市场经济调整利益关系,在执行市场经济的过程中,使更多人来分享改革的红利,当然更重要我们市场改革能够得到法制的保障。坚定市场化改革这种决心,所以这个市场红利我想最重要的坚信中国改革的环境、改革的前景,这个是十分重要,这是司法红利一个根本点。
  经济之声:关于四中全会首次专题讨论依法治国,我们注意到著名的法学家,法制思想家郭道晖特别提出,实现依法治国,最主要的就是依宪治国,依宪执政,而执照宪法的关键,在于立法为民制约权利保障权利,其实这个依法治国已经提出了很多年,但是现在普遍一个观点认为,依法治国目前没有达到期望的目标,这个原因我看到有分析说,比如说我们现在是由行政监管,那么如果说依法治国的话,我们可能面临一个转型,那就是转向法制监管为主,强化以法制为基础的市场监管。福林院长在您看来如何才能形成以法治为基础的市场监管?
  迟福林:我们在加大行政审批,加快简政放权的同时,实行以法制为基础的市场监管是一个十分重要的问题。第一,就是要加快相关的立法。这样才能够提高我们市场监管的权威性,公开性,我想在市场监管立法方面比方说食品法是大家迫切希望的,尽快出台。第二,依法赋于市场监管机构法律主体地位,这样使得监管机构,它才具有法律赋予的权威性、独立性,这个它的执法更有权威,更有效率,更能受到社会多方面的监督。第三,法制为基础、市场监管,容易和社会的这种监督相结合。这样,我们的市场监管才能够有权威、有效率,所以现在正面临着由行政为主的市场监管下,法制为主市场监管的转型过程,在这样一个转型过程中,我们的发展理念应该发生一个大的变化。我们现在行政体制,要作出一个重大的改革,比如监管的权利,相应分散到不同的政府部门,监管主体的法律地位,需要进一步明确。所以加快以法制为主的市场监管,是下一步行政审批、简政放权以后,我认为最重要的一项事情。
  经济之声:国内外媒体对于十八届四中全会的前瞻分析中,司法体制改革和反腐制度推进,是舆论最为关切的两大焦点,您预计在本次会议上这两项会取得什么样的突破?
  迟福林:我认为这两项关注的焦点在这次会议上,应该能达到预期的大家的希望值。首先司法体制改革,将成为我们推进依法治国一个重点之一。渴望在司法体制去地方化、去行政化,提升它的专业化程度方面,有若干的改革措施会出台,使得司法体制成为依法治国的重头戏。第二是反腐,反腐我想在制度建设上,得到进一步加强,通过反腐,相关的立法,可以使我们在现在加大反腐力度的同时,达到从治标到治本这样一个过度,从加大反腐的制度化、法制化的程度。

李克强出访欧洲三国收获了什么?



李克强总理结束欧洲出访回国后的第二天,出访的成果之一也迅速“回”到国内:19日,欧盟有关方面宣布,取消对华无线电通信产品实施的“双反调查”。这意味着中欧无线电通信产品的贸易争端,在总理持续不断的斡旋下,正式划上了句号。
去年5月,李克强总理首次出访德国期间,用大量时间与德国总理默克尔磋商欧盟对中国光伏等产品实施的“双反”调查,从而直接推动了光伏贸易争端的顺利解决。而在此次出访期间,李克强对记者表示,中德双方通过平等协商已经达成了“解决共识”。一周过后,中国有关行业就等来了调查取消的好消息。
两次贸易争端的平息,恰似一个缩影,折射出中国总理“务实外交”的精妙内涵。当李克强在遥远的异国他乡马不停蹄奔忙时,这些看似与百姓并不相干的外交往来,却在不同层面改变着中国经济的发展进程,也实实在在惠及着国内民众的生活。
“经济外交”+“民生外交”
梳理李克强总理为期9天的出访行程,一系列硕果令人印象深刻。
在德国,中德双方签署了50项左右的商业和政府间协议,发表了包括200多项具体合作倡议、项目和举措的《中德合作行动纲要》;在俄罗斯,39项重要双边合作文件的签署持续了近半小时,本币互换协议、高铁合作得到全面推进;在意大利,两国签署的10余项协议,涉及双向投资和技术、生态、金融合作等领域,金额超过100亿美元。
不止此访,李克强就任总理以来的历次出访,被媒体普遍形容为“务实外交”。但当国内公众更多把目光聚焦于总理出访签署的“大单”时,许多人似乎忽视了,这些看似“高大上”的项目合作,其实与国内民众的日常生活息息相关。中德双方在对等基础上缩短签证时间,不仅为商务人员申请签证提供了便利,也意味着一场“说走就走的德国行”不再遥远;中欧经贸升级、拓展中欧贸易走廊,意味着更多、更便宜的欧洲商品有望早日进入中国民众的购物篮;而中德双方在创新领域的合作升级,更会带动国内相关领域行业的快速发展,将会直接带动国内产业升级、就业增加和民生改善。
一家媒体评论称:“李克强总理此次访问收获的诸多成果,不仅增进了中欧的政治、经济、商业和文化互动,亦直接惠及了你我的日常生活。”
事实上,从出访泰国的“高铁换大米”,到访问中东欧的“高铁换牛羊肉”,“外交服务民生”始终是李克强一以贯之的理念。总理本人对此亦有总结。他在一次谈话中说,领导人出访不是去国外“撒钱”,而是磋商合作、解决问题,实现彼此互利共赢,要真正体现“外交为民”。
“器物之交”+“机制之交”
虽然一直以来,李克强总理以“务实外交”为人称道,但在此次出访欧洲三国期间,他反复强调,国与国之交,绝不仅仅是“买卖关系”。
在德国,他用英文阐述说,“中德不是简单的买卖关系,是共赢关系,是创新伙伴”;在意大利,他再次强调,中意合作“已经超越了简单的商品买卖关系,体现了双方合作的高质量与高水平”。
在中国经济提质增效升级的关键阶段,李克强把“创新”作为此次出访欧洲三国的主题。他在俄罗斯出席“开放式创新”莫斯科国际创新发展论坛,在意大利出席中意创新周大会,而中德两国发表的《中德合作行动纲要》,主题就是“共塑创新”。
在莫斯科国际创新发展论坛上发表的演讲中,李克强强调,要实现更大范围、更深层次的创新,墨守成规不行,单打独斗也不行,需要开放、合作与分享,需要各国携起手来实现知识的倍增、价值的倍增。
他说:“开放式创新,不仅包括技术领域的创新合作,也包括体制机制的创新、互鉴。”
演讲前一天,有媒体针对《中德合作行动纲要》中提出的“工业4.0”合作评论称,纲要明确了合作的“边界”与“规矩”,这意味着双方的合作从“器物之交”上升到了“机制之交”。
另一个与此呼应的细节是,此前举行的中德经济技术合作论坛上,李克强专门把天津中德职业技术学院师生共同创作的一个“鲁班锁”赠予默克尔,寓意“德国技术”与“中国制造”的深度融合。他说,中德两国要通过“互学互鉴”,用智慧拆解难题,开启未来。
“经贸合作”+“文明交流”
紧凑密集的出访行程中,李克强总理广泛接触的,不仅有各国政要,也包括不少异国的普通民众。
在德国,李克强在默克尔的陪同下一起“逛”超市,与围拢过来的当地民众合影、握手;在意大利米兰理工大学,他与意大利总理伦奇一起出席中意创新周,为中意创新设计合作的参与者加油打气;而在会见中意企业家代表时,李克强鼓励两国企业家“争当现代的马可·波罗”,推动两国务实合作。
如同700年前的威尼斯商人马可·波罗缔造了中欧最早的文化桥梁一样,李克强总理此次出访,不仅寻求官方的经济贸易合作,也在拓展民间的文化、文明交流。
在亚欧首脑会议第一次全会的引导性发言中,李克强着重强调了中欧文明包容互鉴的重要意义。他说:“欧洲的文艺复兴和启蒙运动曾得益于东方古代智慧的滋养,亚洲的现代化进程更离不开向欧洲科学技术和工业革命成果的学习。‘东风西渐’、‘西风东渐’各领风骚,促进了亚欧交流互鉴、取长补短,推动了人类社会发展进步。”
而在中欧汉堡峰会的演讲中,中国总理给欧洲听众讲了一个小故事:德国莱法州有一位食品加工师称呼自己是“一个85%的中国人”。他30多年来往返中德250多次,不仅把自己的生产技术带到中国,还为中国地震灾区捐款,资助失学儿童。
李克强说:“这是中德、中欧友好的一个生动写照,也是一种‘全息’缩影。”
事实上,总理的“魅力外交”,本身就构成当地民众认知中国的一扇窗口。柏林书报店的店员沙尔夫觉得电视上看到的李克强“很亲切”;俄罗斯小贩伊格尔认为李总理口才很好、很睿智;而在意大利翻译撒巴蒂诺的印象中,李克强总理很坦诚,对目前中国经济发展中存在的问题毫不避讳,并多次在演讲中强调中国改革的决心。
国之交在于民相亲。在收获经贸“大单”、推进创新合作之余,李克强此访欧洲三国,收获的“大单”以外的无形成果,也将会随着时间推移日益显现。(肖楠)